Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 83.561030 93.432912 103.482379 114.447150 126.043480 137.914381 150.956423
2025-09-21 67.399387 81.583990 96.634346 113.666127 132.285047 151.911866 174.058498
2025-09-28 56.301882 72.637800 90.540023 111.354485 134.647777 159.696252 188.460110
2025-10-05 51.612577 70.060953 90.793432 115.391485 143.389703 173.922917 209.409636
2025-10-12 47.021738 67.012929 90.015929 117.813857 149.931860 185.385073 227.013006
2025-10-19 41.534402 62.369135 86.945635 117.206026 152.693212 192.330244 239.327776
2025-10-26 36.817881 58.246339 84.143850 116.600035 155.188317 198.751579 250.856205
2025-11-02 33.320841 55.355883 82.586673 117.256384 158.972521 206.499510 263.764952
2025-11-09 29.536229 51.780301 79.937513 116.383134 160.776592 211.821931 273.778679
2025-11-16 26.619551 49.124906 78.259205 116.538254 163.675274 218.314000 285.053635
2025-11-23 23.504321 45.940669 75.708048 115.446456 164.938872 222.784891 293.898254
2025-11-30 21.666727 44.420179 75.217995 116.853525 169.168094 230.702309 306.720481
2025-12-07 20.061485 43.146943 75.015109 118.622461 173.873415 239.248703 320.379014
2025-12-14 17.685175 40.516370 72.843919 117.757526 175.252108 243.776649 329.282347
2025-12-21 15.078735 37.273813 69.648744 115.409651 174.661833 245.843264 335.193202
2025-12-28 14.672074 37.550124 71.367418 119.527091 182.191528 257.725981 352.777506
2026-01-04 13.820123 37.008520 71.873957 121.998491 187.619626 267.048628 367.309843
2026-01-11 12.186929 34.978766 70.133861 121.378425 189.059143 271.469888 375.950570
2026-01-18 10.706688 33.060603 68.453908 120.760263 190.440885 275.776520 384.420374
2026-01-25 9.669643 31.844932 67.751841 121.429800 193.445444 282.054644 395.249401
2026-02-01 8.374249 29.982225 65.973381 120.538996 194.372977 285.728935 402.903009
2026-02-08 7.420095 28.677629 64.983716 120.697238 196.631863 291.029064 412.510702
2026-02-15 6.310602 26.890269 63.141923 119.583425 197.168285 294.146251 419.434978